The real estate market and the mortgage market are great friends; they
generally are seen hand in hand, wherever they may go! One fuels the
other’s ambitions. Never a truer statement has been made and they (the
real estate and the mortgage market) seem to feed off each other, as
they both have continued to grow over these last few years.
If a potential buyer has the greater possibility of securing a
mortgage, the greater the opportunity to sell a home or buy a home
becomes; Whenever the opportunities increase for the buying and selling
of real estate, then the prices for real estate increase. Can you
clearly see the relationship now and how one drives the other? As the
mortgage market has expanded, and the possibilities broadened, so have
the prices of homes, the new home construction market, as well as the
commercial development of real estate.
The potential for problems exist when this all happens too quickly, or
when the growth in one area exceeds the average growth rate of other
areas. This is the case with the real estate market and the interest
only mortgage. Much of the growth in the mortgage market has been with
interest only loans. Many analysts put the interest only segment of the
mortgage market at almost 23%. That’s a huge hunk of the entire
mortgage market and this segment has been responsible for most of the
overall growth. It would also seem that it has played a tremendous role
in fueling real estate prices. Is this a rollercoaster ride, waiting
for the drop, if so, let’s hope we’re all buckled in!
Let’s take a moment to look at the four areas that contribute to this continued upward growth, and their impact on real estate.
The price of existing homes on the market is a pretty easy one to
figure out; if you have your home for sale, quite naturally it will
bring a comparable price to the other homes in your area. How does this
serve to drive real estate prices? This concept works with a Domino
effect, in that when one home increases in value, it also affects the
homes around it driving the price, further upward.
The new home construction market is heavily reliant on building
material prices to determine the building cost and the contractor's
profitability. If building construction is on the increase quite
naturally, the prices of building materials are on the increase; when
you have an optimistic and growing economy, you will have increases in
building material cost.
The other big drive in the real estate market comes from the
development of commercial property. In resort areas, particularly the
development of real estate property for commercial purposes tends to
quickly affect the surrounding areas real estate prices. Many of
today's commercial mortgages have reached loan limits well over $1
million; in fact, some of the residential mortgage loans in certain
resort areas are approaching the have the million-dollar mark.
Now, when you combine all of these contribute factors, a mortgage
market that is extremely optimistic with its lending capital, you have
the makings of a market segment, with the potential for a bubble
effect. What happens in a bubble effect economy? The bubble continues
to grow until it bursts. This is what many analysts and economists
fear: that too many consumers are betting the farm on a continual,
optimistic spurt of growth. What could cause our booming economy to
rupture? In reality, many conditions can contribute and provide the
needed catalyst.
Well, what if there is a continual increase in pricing but there is
generally a continual downward spiraling of the ride we’re on? Well, if
there should be a tremendous downward turn in the investment market, if
there is a continuing loss of jobs in this country, or if there are any
natural occurrences that lead to disasters that are beyond governmental
or company control, you could see a possibility for disaster. Does that
mean it will happen? No. It just means that the potential exists. But
in the defense of the housing and real estate market, if you’re going
to be risky, that’s the place to be. It’s one of the safest risky
businesses that exist. |